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DreamLeague Division 2 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Teawin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4Piratesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Tea

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 18 games
83%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
SoNNeikO · 16 games
63%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Worick · 15 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 10 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Cloud · 10 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Worick · 10 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dEsire · 10 games
10%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Shigetsu · 9 games
56%

4Pirates

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
мистер мораль · 33 games
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
ariel · 31 game
61%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ariel · 30 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
PERDAN4IK · 28 games
39%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Otaker · 27 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 24 games
54%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
PERDAN4IK · 22 games
64%
Sniper
Snipersignature
NattyNarwhal · 22 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
685 picks · 329 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
558 picks · 598 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
460 picks · 237 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
386 picks · 660 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
382 picks · 1115 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
374 picks · 248 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
343 picks · 353 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
335 picks · 383 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% 4Pirates
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total69% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:12
Team Tea 59%4Pirates 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 27:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeShigetsu
47% · 193 games49% · 228 games
Ursazvёzd
Ursa
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritxn丶e
44% · 203 games47% · 222 games
Centaur Warrunnerмистер мораль
Centaur Warrunner
Bristleback
BristlebackCloud
51% · 174 games53% · 158 games
Void SpiritNattyNarwhal
Void Spirit
Pudge
PudgeOneJey
53% · 62 games62% · 174 games
Naga SirenPERDAN4IK
Naga Siren
Disruptor
DisruptorKaori
52% · 186 games37% · 36 games
Skywrath Mageariel
Skywrath Mage
Game 2prediction correct35:27
Team Tea 58%4Pirates 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 34:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordShigetsu
43% · 114 games51% · 141 game
Axeмистер мораль
Axe
Leshrac
Leshracxn丶e
50% · 134 games55% · 191 game
SlardarNattyNarwhal
Slardar
Pangolier
PangolierCloud
46% · 235 games49% · 75 games
Pudgezvёzd
Pudge
Tiny
TinyOneJey
48% · 211 games51% · 331 game
Hoodwinkariel
Hoodwink
Snapfire
SnapfireKaori
51% · 349 games54% · 305 games
DisruptorPERDAN4IK
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 69%
Series resultTeam Tea 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2