RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Teawin 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Dandelionsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
377 picks · 756 bans
Hoodwink
345 picks · 323 bans
Rubick
343 picks · 234 bans
Weaver
337 picks · 689 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 469 bans
Gyrocopter
308 picks · 380 bans
Pangolier
305 picks · 519 bans
Phoenix
289 picks · 606 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% Team Tea
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:45
Team Tea 59%Dandelions 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Dandelions in 58:07.
Game 2prediction correct26:16
Team Tea 59%Dandelions 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 39:07.
Game 3prediction correct26:10
Team Tea 59%Dandelions 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 29:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 59%
Series resultTeam Tea 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3