CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Tealoss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HULIGANIwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 24 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 24 games
Rubick
OneJey · 22 games
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 20 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 19 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 18 games
Hoodwinkoften banned
OneJey · 18 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
417 picks · 318 bans
Hoodwink
414 picks · 442 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 827 bans
Tiny
384 picks · 885 bans
Phoenix
361 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
357 picks · 513 bans
Clockwerk
348 picks · 487 bans
Dragon Knight
305 picks · 534 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:41
Team Tea 55%HULIGANI 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Tea — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 50:12.
Game 2prediction missed30:42
Team Tea 55%HULIGANI 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Tea — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 32:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 55%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2