Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Tealoss 0:2series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
One Move
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 12 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 12 games
Marsoften banned
SSS · 10 games
Crystal Maiden
Rein · 9 games
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
xn丶e · 9 games
Timbersawoften banned
SSS · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
386 picks · 709 bans
Weaver
327 picks · 623 bans
Clockwerk
322 picks · 467 bans
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 374 bans
Hoodwink
322 picks · 260 bans
Rubick
321 picks · 214 bans
Dark Willow
305 picks · 350 bans
Pangolier
299 picks · 540 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 37%
Hero pool strength55% Team Tea
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:35
Team Tea 76%One Move 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Tea — the game was taken by One Move in 34:30.
Game 2prediction missed31:38
Team Tea 76%One Move 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Tea — the game was taken by One Move in 47:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 76%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2