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PGL Wallachia Season 6. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Tealoss 0:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Passion UAwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Tea

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Cloud · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dEsire · 3 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Worick · 3 games
67%
Slardar
Slardar
Cloud · 3 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dEsire · 3 games
33%
Chen
Chenoften banned
SoNNeikO · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Worick · 2 games
0%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
SoNNeikO · 2 games
50%

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinysignature
QBFY · 33 games
70%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Crystallize · 24 games
58%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 17 games
41%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Moonlight · 17 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
QBFY · 17 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Moonlight · 17 games
82%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Moonlight · 16 games
63%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
QBFY · 16 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
367 picks · 331 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
336 picks · 841 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
317 picks · 163 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
293 picks · 332 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
281 picks · 246 bans
47%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
280 picks · 783 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
273 picks · 124 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
271 picks · 686 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:44
Team Tea 59%Passion UA 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Passion UA in 43:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 59%
Series resultPassion UA 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1