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CCT Series 1 · BO5
result vs prediction
Team Teawin 3:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Twisted Mindsloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Tea

No games played over 6 months.

Twisted Minds

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Pablo · 25 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Pablo · 20 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Pablo · 19 games
26%
Sven
Sven
Shad · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Handsken · 16 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
Pablo · 15 games
47%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shad · 14 games
36%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shad · 14 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
395 picks · 614 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
327 picks · 361 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
319 picks · 350 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
312 picks · 407 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
308 picks · 423 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
304 picks · 162 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
303 picks · 498 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
301 picks · 116 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 48%
Hero pool strength52% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:43
Team Tea 64%Twisted Minds 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Twisted Minds in 42:55.
Game 2prediction correct36:19
Team Tea 64%Twisted Minds 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 34:18.
Game 3prediction correct34:8
Team Tea 64%Twisted Minds 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 25:43.
Game 4prediction missed17:40
Team Tea 64%Twisted Minds 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Twisted Minds in 34:26.
Game 5prediction correct51:15
Team Tea 64%Twisted Minds 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 47:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 64%
Series resultTeam Tea 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5