Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Tealoss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yellow Submarineloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Yellow Submarine
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 32 games
Crystal Maiden
asdekor_r · 30 games
Techies
rue · 28 games
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 25 games
Rubick
rue · 20 games
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 19 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
rue · 19 games
Enchantresssignature
asdekor_r · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
393 picks · 720 bans
Hoodwink
334 picks · 281 bans
Weaver
331 picks · 643 bans
Rubick
329 picks · 218 bans
Clockwerk
320 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
320 picks · 373 bans
Pangolier
298 picks · 538 bans
Dark Willow
295 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:36
Team Tea 54%Yellow Submarine 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 39:13.
Game 2prediction correct28:12
Team Tea 54%Yellow Submarine 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 24:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2