BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTTTeam Tofuloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spiky Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tofu
No games played over 6 months.
Spiky Gaming
Weaveroften banned
Manic · 6 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Hara · 5 games
Dark Willow
Hara · 5 games
Doomoften banned
Manic · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Manic · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Xwy · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
TK · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
364 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 514 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
277 picks · 474 bans
Windranger
274 picks · 349 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Team Tofu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Spiky Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:35
Team Tofu 30%Spiky Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on Spiky Gaming — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming in 30:19.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Tofu 30%Spiky Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on Spiky Gaming — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpiky Gaming · 70%
Series resultSpiky Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2