BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Undyingwin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
D2 Hustlersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
386 picks · 999 bans
Lion
384 picks · 212 bans
Mars
373 picks · 625 bans
Grimstroke
361 picks · 362 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 184 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
289 picks · 200 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 613 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 65%
Hero pool strength50% Team Undying
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:5
Team Undying 59%D2 Hustlers 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Undying — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 23:35.
Game 2prediction missed18:31
Team Undying 59%D2 Hustlers 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Undying — the game was taken by D2 Hustlers in 38:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 59%
Series resultTeam Undying 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2