BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Undyingloss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
NoPing VPNloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
NoPing VPN
Earth Spirit
Michael · 8 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 8 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 7 games
Marssignature
Oscar · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Michael · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
DarkMago · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
hFn · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
380 picks · 806 bans
Void Spirit
354 picks · 483 bans
Mars
303 picks · 533 bans
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 229 bans
Death Prophet
269 picks · 440 bans
Rubick
249 picks · 148 bans
Keeper of the Light
236 picks · 497 bans
Wraith King
233 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 56%
Hero pool strength60% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:21
Team Undying 54%NoPing VPN 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Undying — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 33:27.
Game 2prediction missed43:48
Team Undying 54%NoPing VPN 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Undying — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 44:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 54%
Accuracy by game0 of 2