BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Undyingloss 1:1series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:1
simply TOOBASEDloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
375 picks · 972 bans
Lion
372 picks · 204 bans
Mars
363 picks · 590 bans
Grimstroke
340 picks · 360 bans
Snapfire
309 picks · 175 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 219 bans
Death Prophet
275 picks · 615 bans
Tiny
270 picks · 183 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 29%
Hero pool strength50% Team Undying
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total72% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed52:40
Team Undying 72%simply TOOBASED 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Undying — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 55:58.
Game 2prediction missed35:27
Team Undying 72%simply TOOBASED 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Undying — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 42:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 72%
Accuracy by game0 of 2