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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — СНГ 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniqueloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
AS Monaco Gambitwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unique

No games played over 6 months.

AS Monaco Gambit

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
xsvampire · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Blizzy · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
PuberrrR · 4 games
25%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
xannii · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Blizzy · 4 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 4 games
75%
Mirana
Mirana
xsvampire · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Lorenof · 3 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
279 picks · 559 bans
54%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
251 picks · 315 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
219 picks · 400 bans
47%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
209 picks · 163 bans
47%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
183 picks · 328 bans
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
179 picks · 562 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
176 picks · 206 bans
58%
Wraith King
Wraith King
176 picks · 229 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 36%
Hero pool strength51% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:5
Team Unique 56%AS Monaco Gambit 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Unique — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 26:58.
Game 2prediction missed4:18
Team Unique 56%AS Monaco Gambit 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Unique — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 23:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 56%
Series resultAS Monaco Gambit 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2