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Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniqueloss 1:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
B8 Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unique

No games played over 6 months.

B8 Esports

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 15 games
60%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Yuma · 10 games
70%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
[T]SA · 10 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
[T]SA · 9 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Davai · 9 games
44%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Limitless · 8 games
50%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lancersignature
Watson · 8 games
63%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Dendi · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
372 picks · 172 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
347 picks · 124 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
266 picks · 443 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 523 bans
58%
Luna
Luna
247 picks · 342 bans
51%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
242 picks · 246 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
238 picks · 332 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
237 picks · 481 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 45%
Hero pool strength53% B8 Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:35
Team Unique 59%B8 Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Unique — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 34:36.
Game 2prediction missed34:33
Team Unique 59%B8 Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Unique — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 56:17.
Game 3prediction missed11:18
Team Unique 59%B8 Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Unique — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 29:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 59%
Series resultB8 Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3