Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 2:0series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Chicken Fightersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
456 picks · 179 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 193 bans
Mars
342 picks · 542 bans
Puck
318 picks · 806 bans
Ancient Apparition
317 picks · 479 bans
Nyx Assassin
313 picks · 614 bans
Tiny
294 picks · 233 bans
Enchantress
283 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% Team Unique
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total65% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:34
Team Unique 35%Chicken Fighters 65%
The model gave 65% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 47:43.
Game 2prediction correct16:37
Team Unique 35%Chicken Fighters 65%
The model gave 65% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 38:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 65%
Series resultTeam Unique 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2