Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniqueloss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
Gaimin Gladiators
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 26 games
Bane
tOfu · 22 games
Iosignature
Seleri · 21 game
Marssignature
Ace · 18 games
Weaversignature
tOfu · 18 games
Grimstroke
tOfu · 17 games
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 17 games
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
555 picks · 460 bans
Mars
435 picks · 683 bans
Dragon Knight
423 picks · 529 bans
Bane
398 picks · 274 bans
Puck
362 picks · 831 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 566 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 637 bans
Chaos Knight
333 picks · 661 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 52%
Hero pool strength59% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:11
Team Unique 28%Gaimin Gladiators 72%
The model gave 72% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 25:08.
Game 2prediction correct22:25
Team Unique 28%Gaimin Gladiators 72%
The model gave 72% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 35:33.
Game 3prediction correct30:18
Team Unique 28%Gaimin Gladiators 72%
The model gave 72% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 41:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 72%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3