Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HellRaisersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
404 picks · 180 bans
Hoodwink
358 picks · 131 bans
Nyx Assassin
285 picks · 586 bans
Dragon Knight
275 picks · 359 bans
Mars
270 picks · 437 bans
Puck
263 picks · 582 bans
Winter Wyvern
262 picks · 245 bans
Lina
247 picks · 376 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% Team Unique
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total51% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:25
Team Unique 51%HellRaisers 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Unique — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 20:15.
Game 2prediction missed27:29
Team Unique 51%HellRaisers 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Unique — the game was taken by HellRaisers in 47:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 51%
Series resultTeam Unique 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2