Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
V-Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
V-Gaming
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 13 games
Marssignature
laise · 8 games
Vipersignature
hAze · 6 games
Abaddonoften banned
Malady · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
TA2000 · 5 games
Dark Willow
ArrOw · 4 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
TA2000 · 4 games
Linaoften banned
hAze · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
426 picks · 171 bans
Mars
317 picks · 523 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 466 bans
Nyx Assassin
299 picks · 623 bans
Puck
298 picks · 756 bans
Snapfire
298 picks · 164 bans
Enchantress
279 picks · 362 bans
Tiny
274 picks · 221 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 69%
Hero pool strength53% V-Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:34
Team Unique 52%V-Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Unique — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 1:03:19.
Game 2prediction missed35:26
Team Unique 52%V-Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Unique — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 47:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 52%
Series resultTeam Unique 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2