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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 2:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
YNTloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unique

No games played over 6 months.

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
551 picks · 463 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
440 picks · 687 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
425 picks · 541 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
397 picks · 277 bans
58%
Puck
Puck
358 picks · 821 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
351 picks · 576 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 638 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
334 picks · 528 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Team Unique
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Unique
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:29
Team Unique 55%YNT 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Unique — the game was taken by YNT in 33:41.
Game 2prediction missed19:7
Team Unique 55%YNT 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Unique — the game was taken by YNT in 32:00.
Game 3prediction missed7:29
Team Unique 55%YNT 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Unique — the game was taken by YNT in 29:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unique · 55%
Series resultTeam Unique 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3