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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Unknownloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Inversewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unknown

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Wij · 13 games
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Prada · 7 games
71%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Robo-Z · 7 games
71%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Prada · 7 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Prada · 6 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 6 games
50%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Robo-Z · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Sacred · 5 games
60%

Inverse

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Migi · 2 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
ArzenT · 1 game
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Slaw · 1 game
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
MonHty · 1 game
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Migi · 1 game
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Slaw · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
308 picks · 441 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
273 picks · 202 bans
60%
Monkey King
Monkey King
271 picks · 680 bans
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
263 picks · 406 bans
45%
Weaver
Weaver
245 picks · 510 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
238 picks · 132 bans
47%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
213 picks · 248 bans
45%
Lina
Lina
212 picks · 472 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% Team Unknown
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Team Unknown
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:31
Team Unknown 51%Inverse 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Unknown — the game was taken by Inverse in 29:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracBlackSoul
46% · 171 game51% · 89 games
MedusaAdrx
Medusa
Luna
LunaArgius
48% · 147 games56% · 53 games
Centaur WarrunnerArzenT
Centaur Warrunner
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerNoName
56% · 34 games48% · 183 games
MarsMigi
Mars
Io
IoMoonlight
51% · 143 games52% · 154 games
SnapfireMonHty
Snapfire
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerFeelinG
45% · 31 game51% · 47 games
Ogre MagiSlaw
Ogre Magi
Game 2prediction missed18:27
Team Unknown 51%Inverse 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Unknown — the game was taken by Inverse in 35:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenArgius
49% · 59 games56% · 136 games
Troll WarlordAdrx
Troll Warlord
Void Spirit
Void SpiritBlackSoul
46% · 197 games50% · 113 games
KunkkaMigi
Kunkka
Tidehunter
TidehunterNoName
46% · 161 game54% · 98 games
Centaur WarrunnerArzenT
Centaur Warrunner
Rubick
RubickMoonlight
51% · 127 games42% · 124 games
HoodwinkMonHty
Hoodwink
Disruptor
DisruptorFeelinG
54% · 101 game53% · 174 games
WeaverSlaw
Weaver
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unknown · 54%
Series resultInverse 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2