Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Южная Америка 1-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Unknownloss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NoPing VPNwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unknown
Earth Spirit
Wij · 4 games
Earthshaker
Wij · 3 games
Enchantress
Yadomi · 3 games
Grimstroke
Yadomi · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
Berna · 3 games
Marsoften banned
drakeel · 3 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Berna · 3 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Wij · 3 games
NoPing VPN
Earth Spirit
Michael · 6 games
Timbersawoften banned
Oscar · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
hFn · 4 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Matthew · 4 games
Oracleoften banned
Panda · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
DarkMago · 3 games
Grimstroke
Accel · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
Pakazs · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
259 picks · 532 bans
Void Spirit
234 picks · 295 bans
Mars
215 picks · 385 bans
Earth Spirit
201 picks · 155 bans
Keeper of the Light
172 picks · 307 bans
Phoenix
168 picks · 197 bans
Nyx Assassin
165 picks · 537 bans
Wraith King
163 picks · 215 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% Team Unknown
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Team Unknown
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unknown · 66%
Series resultNoPing VPN 0:2
Series predictionmissed