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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Amaru Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 22 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 21 game
62%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
62%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 20 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 18 games
78%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 17 games
59%

Amaru Gaming

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Oscar · 3 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Gardick · 2 games
50%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Wits · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
TaiLung · 2 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Wits · 2 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Gardick · 1 game
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Oscar · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Wits · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
777 picks · 356 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
594 picks · 300 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
553 picks · 444 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
551 picks · 547 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
544 picks · 661 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
508 picks · 305 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
492 picks · 747 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
477 picks · 537 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:7
Team Yandex 80%Amaru Gaming 20%
The model gave 80% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 30:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezWatson
38% · 28 games48% · 368 games
TerrorbladeWits
Terrorblade
Puck
PuckChira JUNIOR
51% · 287 games57% · 202 games
LeshracTaiLung
Leshrac
Tidehunter
TidehunterNoticed
51% · 175 games56% · 330 games
Centaur WarrunnerOscar
Centaur Warrunner
Jakiro
JakiroMalady
44% · 445 games48% · 407 games
WarlockGardick
Warlock
Tusk
TuskSaksa
49% · 372 games
Game 2prediction correct22:5
Team Yandex 81%Amaru Gaming 19%
The model gave 81% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 18:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterWatson
49% · 250 games53% · 406 games
Nature's ProphetWits
Nature's Prophet
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNoticed
43% · 272 games48% · 440 games
PuckTaiLung
Puck
Monkey King
Monkey KingChira JUNIOR
60% · 223 games49% · 123 games
UnderlordOscar
Underlord
Chen
ChenMalady
61% · 137 games44% · 283 games
Shadow DemonGardick
Shadow Demon
Tusk
TuskSaksa
46% · 370 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 94%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2