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BLAST Slam VII · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 29 games
76%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 28 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Saksa · 26 games
58%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 25 games
64%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
78%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Saksa · 22 games
59%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 21 game
81%
Windranger
Windranger
Watson · 20 games
55%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
63%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 30 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
55%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
64%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 24 games
83%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 23 games
74%
Puck
Pucksignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
611 picks · 381 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
498 picks · 586 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
475 picks · 396 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
415 picks · 576 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
355 picks · 951 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
339 picks · 885 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 4
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:26
Team Yandex 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerWatson
51% · 53 games50% · 145 games
KezKiritych
Kez
Snapfire
SnapfireChira JUNIOR
48% · 324 games52% · 268 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Axe
AxeDM
50% · 230 games50% · 79 games
LargoMieRo
Largo
Windranger
WindrangerSaksa
43% · 287 games53% · 412 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Lich
LichMalady
43% · 101 game62% · 91 game
Treant ProtectorKataomi
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction missed34:18
Team Yandex 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 41:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetWatson
57% · 182 games43% · 168 games
WindrangerKiritych
Windranger
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
53% · 119 games48% · 309 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Doom
DoomDM
49% · 180 games45% · 131 game
UndyingMieRo
Undying
Snapfire
SnapfireSaksa
49% · 266 games44% · 115 games
LionSave-
Lion
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorMalady
62% · 126 games49% · 150 games
ClockwerkKataomi
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction missed25:30
Team Yandex 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 1:03:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinWatson
52% · 108 games45% · 86 games
KunkkagpK~
Kunkka
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
55% · 72 games50% · 100 games
KezKiritych
Kez
Enigma
EnigmaDM
48% · 47 games44% · 167 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Snapfire
SnapfireSaksa
57% · 100 games48% · 22 games
MiranaSave-
Mirana
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorMalady
57% · 62 games40% · 14 games
Winter WyvernKataomi
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3