BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 0:1series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GamerLegionwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Tusksignature
Malady · 31 game
Jakirosignature
Malady · 29 games
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 21 game
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
GamerLegion
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 15 games
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 15 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 11 games
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 11 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 11 games
Batridersignature
Speeed · 10 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
RCY · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
608 picks · 945 bans
Tusk
537 picks · 436 bans
Centaur Warrunner
487 picks · 640 bans
Dragon Knight
479 picks · 638 bans
Shadow Demon
444 picks · 962 bans
Ember Spirit
399 picks · 658 bans
Mars
395 picks · 540 bans
Warlock
388 picks · 238 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:37
Team Yandex 73%GamerLegion 27%
The model gave 73% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 33:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerWatson
ClinkzYamSun
TimbersawNoticed
Ember SpiritRCY
TinyChira JUNIOR
SlardarFayde
WarlockMalady
ChenSpeeed
Dark WillowSaksa
Shadow ShamanBignum
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 89%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1