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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 0:1
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Heroicwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 28 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 27 games
74%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 20 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
79%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 29 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
KJ · 26 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 23 games
70%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 20 games
60%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Wisper · 18 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 18 games
83%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Yuma · 18 games
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Yuma · 17 games
82%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
592 picks · 927 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
540 picks · 417 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
492 picks · 639 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
491 picks · 654 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
432 picks · 938 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
391 picks · 650 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
383 picks · 531 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
377 picks · 231 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total82% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:23
Team Yandex 67%Heroic 33%
The model gave 67% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Heroic in 32:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaWatson
49% · 28 games44% · 8 games
MeepoYuma
Meepo
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
51% · 221 game42% · 49 games
ViperTaiLung
Viper
Beastmaster
BeastmasterChira JUNIOR
48% · 155 games49% · 221 game
TidehunterWisper
Tidehunter
Mirana
MiranaMalady
49% · 39 games57% · 159 games
ChenKJ
Chen
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSaksa
49% · 152 games53% · 158 games
MarciThiolicor
Marci
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 82%
Series resultHeroic 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1