The International 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 22 games
Jakirosignature
Malady · 20 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 17 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 16 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 16 games
Kezsignature
Watson · 15 games
HULIGANI
Hoodwink
sayuw · 42 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 35 games
Pucksignature
Mirage · 29 games
Phoenix
RESPECT · 28 games
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 24 games
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 23 games
Ringmaster
RESPECT · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
508 picks · 355 bans
Clockwerk
359 picks · 636 bans
Bane
351 picks · 408 bans
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 464 bans
Rubick
327 picks · 177 bans
Tiny
315 picks · 348 bans
Shadow Fiend
303 picks · 583 bans
Windranger
303 picks · 228 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 54%
Hero pool strength58% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:3
Team Yandex 76%HULIGANI 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 25:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidWatson
Alchemistssnovv1
UnderlordDM
Dark SeerCorrupted
SlarkChira JUNIOR
Ember SpiritMirage
Keeper of the LightSaksa
Hoodwinksayuw
UndyingMalady
Winter WyvernRESPECT
Game 2prediction correct34:25
Team Yandex 75%HULIGANI 25%
The model gave 75% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 48:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendWatson
Necrophosssnovv1
Dark SeerDM
InvokerMirage
Earth SpiritChira JUNIOR
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
Bounty HunterSaksa
HoodwinkRESPECT
UndyingMalady
Clockwerksayuw
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 90%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2