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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MOUZloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Malady · 21 game
90%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 18 games
61%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 17 games
82%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 16 games
81%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 16 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 15 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Chira JUNIOR · 13 games
69%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Malady · 13 games
62%

MOUZ

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 22 games
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
yamich · 19 games
68%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
yamich · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
BOOM · 16 games
38%
Phoenix
Phoenix
aik · 14 games
29%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
BOOM · 12 games
42%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
BOOM · 11 games
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
xsvampire · 11 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
508 picks · 300 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
408 picks · 171 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
380 picks · 172 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 499 bans
59%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
319 picks · 285 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
312 picks · 312 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
293 picks · 496 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
279 picks · 353 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 31%
Hero pool strength64% Team Yandex
Head-to-head7 – 3
Model total96% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:11
Team Yandex 86%MOUZ 14%
The model gave 86% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 31:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezWatson
51% · 184 games49% · 245 games
DoomBOOM
Doom
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerATF
53% · 324 games56% · 118 games
Lone Druid423
Lone Druid
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritChira JUNIOR
50% · 120 games42% · 196 games
Void SpiritSupream^
Void Spirit
Windranger
WindrangerSaksa
53% · 249 games45% · 351 game
Dark Willowmrls
Dark Willow
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernMalady
52% · 202 games48% · 169 games
DisruptorMoOz
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct38:30
Team Yandex 84%MOUZ 16%
The model gave 84% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 41:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidWatson
57% · 91 game48% · 69 games
Terrorblade423
Terrorblade
Huskar
HuskarATF
54% · 74 games45% · 89 games
TimbersawBOOM
Timbersaw
Monkey King
Monkey KingChira JUNIOR
53% · 137 games49% · 196 games
Ember SpiritSupream^
Ember Spirit
Lich
LichMalady
50% · 121 game41% · 49 games
Miranamrls
Mirana
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinSaksa
50% · 80 games51% · 100 games
BaneMoOz
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 96%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2