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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 0:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OGwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 28 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 27 games
74%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
79%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 29 games
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 24 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 22 games
68%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 21 game
52%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 20 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 19 games
47%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Force · 18 games
50%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
596 picks · 930 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
540 picks · 422 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
495 picks · 640 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
491 picks · 655 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
437 picks · 938 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
391 picks · 653 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
384 picks · 530 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
378 picks · 231 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total54% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:36
Team Yandex 54%OG 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by OG in 51:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenWatson
51% · 115 games45% · 141 game
Dark SeerForce
Dark Seer
Enigma
EnigmaNoticed
50% · 85 games57% · 47 games
ClinkzNatsumi
Clinkz
Razor
RazorChira JUNIOR
56% · 34 games48% · 197 games
SnapfireSkem
Snapfire
Tiny
TinySaksa
51% · 255 games49% · 195 games
MarsYopaj
Mars
Dazzle
DazzleMalady
52% · 126 games47% · 35 games
Faceless VoidTims
Faceless Void
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 54%
Series resultOG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1