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FISSURE Universe: Episode 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Power Rangersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 24 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 24 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
80%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 19 games
68%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 18 games
78%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 17 games
53%

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 14 games
43%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 12 games
75%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 11 games
64%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 10 games
70%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 9 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Immersion · 8 games
75%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 8 games
75%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 7 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
566 picks · 916 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
533 picks · 405 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
488 picks · 653 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
487 picks · 622 bans
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 897 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
382 picks · 620 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
368 picks · 512 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
361 picks · 220 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct53:15
Team Yandex 77%Power Rangers 23%
The model gave 77% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 31:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorWatson
63% · 77 games45% · 272 games
Queen of Painnicky`cool
Queen of Pain
Slardar
SlardarChira JUNIOR
54% · 331 game44% · 159 games
PhoenixAlberkaaa
Phoenix
Brewmaster
BrewmasterNoticed
54% · 108 games42% · 228 games
Windrangernesfeer
Windranger
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSaksa
55% · 388 games45% · 425 games
TinyImmersion
Tiny
Jakiro
JakiroMalady
53% · 612 games47% · 432 games
TuskHduo
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct34:15
Team Yandex 75%Power Rangers 25%
The model gave 75% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 40:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverWatson
35% · 76 games54% · 60 games
Lunanesfeer
Luna
Underlord
UnderlordNoticed
45% · 100 games58% · 203 games
Timbersawnicky`cool
Timbersaw
Razor
RazorChira JUNIOR
56% · 33 games52% · 117 games
BrewmasterAlberkaaa
Brewmaster
Jakiro
JakiroMalady
49% · 351 game57% · 197 games
ChenHduo
Chen
Tusk
TuskSaksa
45% · 319 games53% · 302 games
Shadow DemonImmersion
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 90%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2