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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 26 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 25 games
76%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
70%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
81%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 19 games
74%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 19 games
89%
Tusk
Tusk
Saksa · 18 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Noticed · 18 games
67%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 43 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Panto · 21 game
71%
Largo
Largosignature
Collapse · 21 game
62%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 21 game
62%
Tusk
Tusk
rue · 21 game
48%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 20 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
575 picks · 406 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
488 picks · 289 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
406 picks · 389 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
362 picks · 485 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
344 picks · 634 bans
56%
Windranger
Windranger
331 picks · 236 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
328 picks · 309 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
313 picks · 461 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 59%
Hero pool strength54% Team Yandex
Head-to-head7 – 2
Model total53% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:24
Team Yandex 53%Team Spirit 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 44:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetWatson
50% · 127 games48% · 165 games
KezYatoro
Kez
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
55% · 325 games40% · 79 games
Earth SpiritLarl
Earth Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
52% · 295 games53% · 240 games
TidehunterCollapse
Tidehunter
Mirana
MiranaSaksa
53% · 58 games49% · 396 games
Hoodwinknot me
Hoodwink
Undying
UndyingMalady
53% · 102 games42% · 27 games
Witch Doctorrue
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction correct35:23
Team Yandex 53%Team Spirit 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 51:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzWatson
59% · 48 games55% · 56 games
Faceless VoidYatoro
Faceless Void
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
54% · 173 games43% · 238 games
SnapfireLarl
Snapfire
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
49% · 329 games49% · 190 games
PangolierCollapse
Pangolier
Techies
TechiesSaksa
51% · 189 games52% · 346 games
Hoodwinknot me
Hoodwink
Undying
UndyingMalady
43% · 142 games49% · 51 game
Lichrue
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 53%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2