Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team YYFloss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team 老陈win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team YYF
No games played over 6 months.
Team 老陈
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
490 picks · 482 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 553 bans
Ringmaster
355 picks · 164 bans
Terrorblade
281 picks · 536 bans
Storm Spirit
263 picks · 370 bans
Muerta
262 picks · 146 bans
Phantom Assassin
262 picks · 533 bans
Beastmaster
260 picks · 580 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Team YYF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Team 老陈
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:31
Team YYF 39%Team 老陈 61%
The model gave 61% on Team 老陈 — the game was taken by Team 老陈 in 48:54.
Game 2prediction correct40:29
Team YYF 39%Team 老陈 61%
The model gave 61% on Team 老陈 — the game was taken by Team 老陈 in 48:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam 老陈 · 61%
Series resultTeam 老陈 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2