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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zeroloss 0:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Azure Raywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Zero

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
7e · 12 games
42%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
BEYOND · 11 games
45%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
poyoyo · 10 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
zzq · 9 games
44%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
BEYOND · 9 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
BEYOND · 9 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
7e · 8 games
25%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
zzq · 8 games
63%

Azure Ray

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
fy · 20 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
fy · 15 games
53%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 13 games
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 12 games
42%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
lou · 12 games
67%
Sven
Svenoften banned
lou · 12 games
42%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Ori · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
351 picks · 341 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
46%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
348 picks · 401 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 497 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
296 picks · 264 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
291 picks · 305 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
281 picks · 388 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 456 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 45%
Hero pool strength53% Azure Ray
Head-to-head1 – 8
Model total56% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:19
Team Zero 49%Azure Ray 51%
The model gave 51% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 26:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangerpoyoyo
50% · 135 games47% · 152 games
Nature's Prophetlou
Nature's Prophet
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain7e
63% · 43 games41% · 48 games
Visageniu
Visage
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBEYOND
53% · 157 games43% · 198 games
TuskpLAnet
Tusk
Hoodwink
HoodwinkPyw
57% · 138 games41% · 135 games
JakiroFantasy
Jakiro
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenzzq
62% · 60 games
Game 2prediction correct39:30
Team Zero 47%Azure Ray 53%
The model gave 53% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 54:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
Spectrepoyoyo
62% · 42 games49% · 191 game
Lunalou
Luna
Invoker
Invoker7e
53% · 62 games53% · 177 games
Marsniu
Mars
Kunkka
KunkkaBEYOND
51% · 226 games52% · 84 games
SniperpLAnet
Sniper
Mirana
MiranaPyw
45% · 150 games48% · 179 games
Shadow DemonFantasy
Shadow Demon
Clockwerk
Clockwerkzzq
44% · 151 game
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 56%
Series resultAzure Ray 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2