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DreamLeague Season 23 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zerowin 2:1
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 2:1
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Zero

Batrider
Batridersignature
iceice · 10 games
60%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
BEYOND · 10 games
50%
Mirana
Miranasignature
zzq · 10 games
70%
Lion
Lion
Ponlo · 8 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
zzq · 7 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
zzq · 7 games
86%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 7 games
57%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
7e · 7 games
71%

G2 Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
414 picks · 667 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
391 picks · 629 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
387 picks · 359 bans
53%
Techies
Techies
387 picks · 315 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
371 picks · 816 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
369 picks · 435 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
355 picks · 358 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
341 picks · 575 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% Team Zero
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:17
Team Zero 25%G2 Invictus Gaming 75%
The model gave 75% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 25:10.
Game 2prediction missed31:29
Team Zero 25%G2 Invictus Gaming 75%
The model gave 75% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Zero in 44:17.
Game 3prediction missed29:22
Team Zero 25%G2 Invictus Gaming 75%
The model gave 75% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Team Zero in 41:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 75%
Series resultTeam Zero 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3