Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Zero
Tinyoften banned
Ponlo · 14 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
BEYOND · 12 games
Lionsignature
Ponlo · 12 games
Miranasignature
zzq · 12 games
Pangoliersignature
7e · 11 games
Razoroften banned
7e · 10 games
Slardarsignature
7e · 10 games
Clockwerksignature
zzq · 9 games
MAG.Yolo
Batrideroften banned
czy · 5 games
Vengeful Spirit
出省 · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
出省 · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Hoodwink
TrazaM · 2 games
Jakiro
czy · 2 games
Luna
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
415 picks · 615 bans
Gyrocopter
368 picks · 387 bans
Centaur Warrunner
360 picks · 465 bans
Crystal Maiden
357 picks · 147 bans
Pangolier
319 picks · 579 bans
Dragon Knight
316 picks · 667 bans
Rubick
314 picks · 150 bans
Batrider
313 picks · 444 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength63% Team Zero
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Team Zero
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Zero 88%MAG.Yolo 12%
The model gave 88% on Team Zero — the game was taken by MAG.Yolo.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zero · 88%
Series resultMAG.Yolo 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1