Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zhouwin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DYloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Zhou
No games played over 6 months.
Team DY
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
562 picks · 619 bans
Ringmaster
481 picks · 241 bans
Jakiro
459 picks · 431 bans
Terrorblade
392 picks · 824 bans
Storm Spirit
363 picks · 548 bans
Ancient Apparition
359 picks · 820 bans
Tusk
358 picks · 322 bans
Shadow Shaman
354 picks · 412 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Team Zhou
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Team Zhou
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:24
Team Zhou 58%Team DY 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Zhou — the game was taken by Team Zhou in 30:04.
Game 2prediction correct24:17
Team Zhou 58%Team DY 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Zhou — the game was taken by Team Zhou in 33:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zhou · 58%
Series resultTeam Zhou 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2