Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zhouwin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team YYFloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Zhou
No games played over 6 months.
Team YYF
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
481 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 554 bans
Ringmaster
445 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 683 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 465 bans
Ancient Apparition
301 picks · 697 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 248 bans
Windranger
288 picks · 88 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Team Zhou
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Team Zhou
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:42
Team Zhou 74%Team YYF 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Zhou — the game was taken by Team Zhou in 30:54.
Game 2prediction correct31:32
Team Zhou 74%Team YYF 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Zhou — the game was taken by Team Zhou in 46:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zhou · 74%
Series resultTeam Zhou 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2