BLAST Slam V. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Tearlamentswin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TThrivingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tearlaments
Nature's Prophetsignature
poyoyo · 14 games
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 11 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 11 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 10 games
Marsoften banned
Srf · 9 games
Snapfiresignature
7e · 9 games
Beastmastersignature
Echo · 8 games
Thriving
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
653 picks · 320 bans
Disruptor
560 picks · 570 bans
Hoodwink
411 picks · 218 bans
Puck
405 picks · 1153 bans
Mars
377 picks · 632 bans
Tusk
361 picks · 266 bans
Pugna
356 picks · 398 bans
Warlock
352 picks · 159 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Tearlaments
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Tearlaments 87%Thriving 13%
The model gave 87% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments.
Game 2prediction correct
Tearlaments 87%Thriving 13%
The model gave 87% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments.
Model check result
Model favoriteTearlaments · 87%
Series resultTearlaments 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2