DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Tech Free Gamingwin 1:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Nemesisloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tech Free Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Nemesis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
506 picks · 690 bans
Phoenix
425 picks · 694 bans
Muerta
415 picks · 305 bans
Clockwerk
408 picks · 398 bans
Bristleback
371 picks · 849 bans
Magnus
370 picks · 976 bans
Phantom Assassin
366 picks · 614 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 494 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Tech Free Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:18
Tech Free Gaming 46%Team Nemesis 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming in 31:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingTraVins
TerrorbladeKarma丶
InvokerMamangDaya
DazzleRaven
Tidehunterdb-
SvenJing
Tinydalul
SilencerVarizh
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 59%
Series resultTech Free Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1