ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Teletubbieswin 1:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:0
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Teletubbies
No games played over 6 months.
InterActive Philippines
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
216 picks · 271 bans
Grimstroke
184 picks · 178 bans
Pangolier
182 picks · 387 bans
Dark Willow
175 picks · 71 bans
Sven
169 picks · 248 bans
Earthshaker
168 picks · 166 bans
Earth Spirit
150 picks · 242 bans
Phoenix
150 picks · 203 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Teletubbies
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:27
Teletubbies 40%InterActive Philippines 60%
The model gave 60% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by Teletubbies in 53:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 60%
Series resultTeletubbies 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1