BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
The Cutwin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Happy Sealsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Cut
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 11 games
Snapfire
Giant · 9 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
Techies
bgod · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 7 games
Hoodwink
bgod · 6 games
Happy Seals
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 282 bans
Mars
443 picks · 604 bans
Tiny
407 picks · 475 bans
Sand King
366 picks · 485 bans
Death Prophet
357 picks · 770 bans
Ember Spirit
338 picks · 512 bans
Storm Spirit
317 picks · 478 bans
Pangolier
311 picks · 456 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)18% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Happy Seals
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:34
The Cut 51%Happy Seals 49%
The model gave 51% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut in 41:19.
Game 2prediction correct47:24
The Cut 51%Happy Seals 49%
The model gave 51% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut in 47:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 51%
Series resultThe Cut 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2