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BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
The Cutloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infamouswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

The Cut

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 9 games
44%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 4 games
25%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 4 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
TingleK1ng · 4 games
50%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 4 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 3 games
67%
Io
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
33%

Infamous

Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
62%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
50%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
375 picks · 974 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
372 picks · 205 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
364 picks · 591 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
341 picks · 360 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
309 picks · 176 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 219 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
276 picks · 615 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
272 picks · 186 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 39%
Hero pool strength54% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:47
The Cut 38%Infamous 62%
The model gave 62% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 42:40.
Game 2prediction correct15:26
The Cut 38%Infamous 62%
The model gave 62% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 26:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 62%
Series resultInfamous 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2