BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
The Cutloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
OOsmiumwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Cut
Bristleback
Scourge McDuck · 11 games
Snapfire
Giant · 9 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
Techies
bgod · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 7 games
Hoodwink
bgod · 6 games
Osmium
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
439 picks · 276 bans
Mars
426 picks · 573 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 453 bans
Death Prophet
346 picks · 736 bans
Sand King
328 picks · 449 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 470 bans
Pangolier
284 picks · 428 bans
Storm Spirit
284 picks · 419 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Osmium
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 52%
Series resultOsmium 0:2
Series predictionmissed