PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTHThe Hutwin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TTokyoGhoullloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Hut
Hoodwinkoften banned
bgod · 4 games
Dark Willowoften banned
bgod · 3 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
bgod · 2 games
Pudgeoften banned
bgod · 2 games
Clinkz
bgod · 1 game
Grimstroke
bgod · 1 game
Rubick
bgod · 1 game
Skywrath Mage
bgod · 1 game
TokyoGhoull
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
406 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
404 picks · 337 bans
Weaver
383 picks · 823 bans
Tiny
377 picks · 880 bans
Phoenix
357 picks · 727 bans
Pangolier
333 picks · 514 bans
Clockwerk
326 picks · 493 bans
Dark Seer
293 picks · 669 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% The Hut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% The Hut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:27
The Hut 62%TokyoGhoull 38%
The model gave 62% on The Hut — the game was taken by The Hut in 36:41.
Game 2prediction correct37:24
The Hut 62%TokyoGhoull 38%
The model gave 62% on The Hut — the game was taken by The Hut in 37:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Hut · 62%
Series resultThe Hut 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2