BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4 Zoomersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marsoften banned
Frank · 13 games
Phoenix
Mjz · 8 games
Earth Spirit
MoOz · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Centaur Warrunner
Frank · 4 games
Elder Titan
MoOz · 4 games
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
284 picks · 157 bans
Mars
267 picks · 360 bans
Lina
257 picks · 526 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 339 bans
Shadow Demon
227 picks · 238 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
225 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)15% vs 42%
Hero pool strength63% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 60%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect