BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO5
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 3:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 3:1
4 Zoomersloss 1:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marssignature
DarkMago · 19 games
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 15 games
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 14 games
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 13 games
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 13 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Matthew · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
DarkMago · 9 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Matthew · 9 games
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
469 picks · 579 bans
Weaver
429 picks · 684 bans
Mars
424 picks · 609 bans
Kunkka
347 picks · 552 bans
Spirit Breaker
337 picks · 571 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 157 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 370 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)77% vs 54%
Hero pool strength61% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total69% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 69%
Series resultThunder Awaken 3:1
Series predictioncorrect