Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 17 games
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 17 games
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 16 games
Marssignature
DarkMago · 15 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Matthew · 11 games
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 11 games
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 11 games
Kunkkasignature
DarkMago · 10 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
440 picks · 268 bans
Mars
410 picks · 547 bans
Tiny
359 picks · 417 bans
Death Prophet
338 picks · 685 bans
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Sand King
298 picks · 391 bans
Weaver
273 picks · 325 bans
Templar Assassin
258 picks · 550 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 79%
Hero pool strength69% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total73% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 73%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect