ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TiltedBoyswin 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CONSILIUMloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TiltedBoys
No games played over 6 months.
CONSILIUM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
422 picks · 534 bans
Clockwerk
372 picks · 366 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 441 bans
Luna
311 picks · 367 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 565 bans
Dark Willow
274 picks · 147 bans
Dragon Knight
261 picks · 345 bans
Shadow Demon
256 picks · 952 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% TiltedBoys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% TiltedBoys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:53
TiltedBoys 52%CONSILIUM 48%
The model gave 52% on TiltedBoys — the game was taken by CONSILIUM in 56:52.
Game 2prediction correct
TiltedBoys 52%CONSILIUM 48%
The model gave 52% on TiltedBoys — the game was taken by TiltedBoys.
Game 3prediction correct
TiltedBoys 52%CONSILIUM 48%
The model gave 52% on TiltedBoys — the game was taken by TiltedBoys.
Model check result
Model favoriteTiltedBoys · 52%
Series resultTiltedBoys 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3