ESL One Bangkok 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Titanwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ascent Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Titan
No games played over 6 months.
Ascent Esports
Clockwerkoften banned
czy · 3 games
Dark Willow
TrazaM · 2 games
Muerta
TrazaM · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Batrider
TrazaM · 1 game
Elder Titan
czy · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 1 game
Ogre Magi
czy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
436 picks · 570 bans
Clockwerk
374 picks · 382 bans
Luna
323 picks · 381 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 446 bans
Enchantress
302 picks · 567 bans
Dark Willow
284 picks · 155 bans
Dragon Knight
266 picks · 323 bans
Sand King
256 picks · 762 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Titan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Titan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:13
Titan 73%Ascent Esports 27%
The model gave 73% on Titan — the game was taken by Titan in 46:29.
Game 2prediction correct28:19
Titan 73%Ascent Esports 27%
The model gave 73% on Titan — the game was taken by Titan in 35:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteTitan · 73%
Series resultTitan 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2