FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Titanwin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TToLightloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Titan
Grimstroke
mercy · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
poyoyo · 1 game
Tuskoften banned
zzq · 1 game
ToLight
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
487 picks · 621 bans
Clockwerk
461 picks · 530 bans
Pangolier
391 picks · 573 bans
Dark Willow
378 picks · 189 bans
Batrider
366 picks · 405 bans
Muerta
353 picks · 263 bans
Invoker
337 picks · 919 bans
Beastmaster
333 picks · 688 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% ToLight
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Titan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:6
Titan 79%ToLight 21%
The model gave 79% on Titan — the game was taken by Titan in 18:10.
Game 2prediction correct18:9
Titan 79%ToLight 21%
The model gave 79% on Titan — the game was taken by Titan in 25:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTitan · 79%
Series resultTitan 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2