Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorloss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TNC Predator
Marsoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 8 games
Grimstroke
Febby · 7 games
Queen of Painoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 7 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 7 games
Tinyoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 7 games
Invokeroften banned
Yowe · 6 games
Bane
Febby · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
Army Geniuses
Pangoliersignature
woMy · 10 games
Gyrocopter
Varizh · 8 games
Snapfire
Lym- · 8 games
Tidehunteroften banned
woMy · 8 games
Weaversignature
Varizh · 8 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
db- · 7 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
471 picks · 277 bans
Mars
391 picks · 537 bans
Queen of Pain
368 picks · 510 bans
Weaver
357 picks · 475 bans
Death Prophet
310 picks · 483 bans
Kunkka
290 picks · 514 bans
Ember Spirit
269 picks · 343 bans
Grimstroke
269 picks · 189 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 61%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 1:2
Series predictionmissed