Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorwin 1:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Carstensz Esportsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TNC Predator
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 18 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Palos · 16 games
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 16 games
Lunaoften banned
Palos · 14 games
Marsoften banned
Gabbi · 14 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Abed · 14 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gabbi · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
Tims · 12 games
Carstensz Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
465 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
408 picks · 637 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
393 picks · 699 bans
Centaur Warrunner
392 picks · 562 bans
Rubick
366 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 759 bans
Shadow Demon
328 picks · 929 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% TNC Predator
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
TNC Predator 85%Carstensz Esports 15%
The model gave 85% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by TNC Predator.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 85%
Series resultTNC Predator 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1